Week 5 of the college football season has some of the most intriguing match-ups on the schedule this year. Most of the games will have conference implications, and four of the games will be featuring top-25 teams going head-to-head.
Kicking it off (no pun intended) #14 Texas A&M takes on #18 Arkansas. This is not a conference game as Texas A&M is part of the Big 12 (however they were recently accepted to the SEC) and Arkansas is part of the SEC, but the winner of this game will surely move up in the BCS polls. Statistically this game is one of the most evenly matched games I have ever seen: Texas A&M is averaging 37.3 points scored per game, with 17 points allowed. Arkansas is averaging 38.8 points scored per game, with 19 points allowed. Interestingly enough Texas A&M, the road team, is favored in this game by 2.5 (-2.5 off of their total). That spread is an indicator that it will be a close game, so it would be a good idea to bet the money line on this game.
I like Texas A&M on the money line; odds are -135.
#13 Clemson visits #11 Virginia Tech in an ACC conference showdown. Clemson is coming off of two quality victories against Auburn and Florida State; this will be their first road test of the season. With all due respect to VA Tech, they have had somewhat of an easy schedule so far, and I can’t understand why they are ranked so high.
Take Clemson with the points (+7).
#3 Alabama visits #12 Florida in an SEC conference game. Alabama is the real deal this year, they have won convincingly at home and on the road against ranked opponents (then #23 Penn St. and then #14 Arkansas). Florida is 4-0 but has not had a big test from a ranked opponent yet.
I like Alabama to cover the spread (-4). Roll Tide.
#8 Nebraska visits #7 Wisconsin in a Big 10 conference match-up. Neither team has had a real test from a ranked opponent this year, so it will be interesting to see how they respond. I’m expecting a close game until the end (possibly OT) as this is both teams’ first conference game and first “big” game of the season. However the spread of 9.5 would say otherwise.
My money is on Nebraska with the points (+9.5).
*Stanford is back from their week off and as usual they look good to cover the spread (-20.5) against UCLA.